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Portugal

Primeira Liga

11 matches to come, each with its prediction. Tap a shirt to see it in 3D.

ESPN data, updated

What's coming, day by day.

1 match

Braga
0-0most likely
Gil Vicente
Wide openExpected goals 0.9 · 0.9

1 match

Vitória
1-1most likely
Maritimo
Wide openExpected goals 1.1 · 1.1

3 matches

Estrela
2-0most likely
Casa Pia
High confidenceExpected goals 2.3 · 0.8
Alverca
1-1most likely
Arouca
Wide openExpected goals 1.2 · 1.4
Gil Vicente
0-1most likely
FC Porto
High confidenceExpected goals 0.6 · 1.4

4 matches

Estoril
1-1most likely
Moreirense
Wide openExpected goals 1.0 · 1.1
Nacional
1-1most likely
Braga
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.1 · 1.7
Rio Ave
1-1most likely
FC Famalicao
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.2 · 1.7
Sporting
2-1most likely
Académico
High confidenceExpected goals 2.1 · 1.2

1 match

Santa Clara
1-1most likely
Benfica
Wide openExpected goals 1.2 · 1.3

1 match

Casa Pia
0-2most likely
Sporting
High confidenceExpected goals 0.7 · 2.8

The table, as it stands.

Today's standings. Every prediction's numbers come from here.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Porto8800204+1624
2Benfica8611247+1719
3Sporting8530209+1118
4Santa Clara8530124+818
5Arouca8422117+414
6Académico84221110+114
7Braga732288011
8Alverca83231312+111
9Gil Vicente732265+111
10Estrela82421415-110
11Moreirense8224815-78
12Maritimo8224914-58
13FC Famalicao81431011-17
14Rio Ave8215817-97
15Vitória 8125510-55
16Nacional8116918-94
17Casa Pia8116317-144
18Estoril8026412-82

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How the prediction works

Each team's goals for and against in this league give its expected goals, and from there the chance of every possible score. No injuries, no hunches: numbers.

The method, step by step