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Germany

Bundesliga

18 matches to come, each with its prediction. Tap a shirt to see it in 3D.

ESPN data, updated

What's coming, day by day.

6 matches

Live 14'
Union Berlin
0-0
Dortmund
High confidenceExpected goals 1.0 · 2.8
Live 13'
Hamburg
0-0
Stuttgart
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.4 · 2.2
Live 14'
Schalke
0-0
Mainz
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.4 · 1.7
Live 14'
Elversberg
2-0
Augsburg
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.7 · 2.0
Live 13'
Bremen
0-0
Paderborn
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.8 · 1.2
Bayern
2-1most likely
RB Leipzig
Medium confidenceExpected goals 2.0 · 1.6

2 matches

Leverkusen
1-2most likely
Freiburg
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.7 · 2.1
Gladbach
2-2most likely
Hoffenheim
Medium confidenceExpected goals 2.1 · 2.6

1 match

Stuttgart
2-1most likely
Gladbach
High confidenceExpected goals 2.7 · 1.5

6 matches

Augsburg
3-1most likely
Union Berlin
High confidenceExpected goals 3.5 · 1.2
Cologne
1-1most likely
Schalke
Wide openExpected goals 1.3 · 1.2
Mainz
2-1most likely
Bremen
Medium confidenceExpected goals 2.5 · 1.9
RB Leipzig
2-1most likely
Elversberg
High confidenceExpected goals 2.4 · 1.2
Paderborn
1-1most likely
Hamburg
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.6 · 1.1
Dortmund
2-1most likely
Frankfurt
High confidenceExpected goals 2.7 · 1.1

2 matches

Hoffenheim
1-2most likely
Leverkusen
High confidenceExpected goals 1.8 · 2.8
Freiburg
1-1most likely
Bayern
Wide openExpected goals 1.7 · 1.7

1 match

Elversberg
1-1most likely
Mainz
Wide openExpected goals 1.9 · 2.0

Just played

Full time
Frankfurt
1-0
Cologne
Wide openExpected goals 1.8 · 1.9

The table, as it stands.

Today's standings. Every prediction's numbers come from here.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Freiburg5410144+1013
2Dortmund5410114+713
3Bayern5320164+1211
4Leverkusen5311148+610
5RB Leipzig5302155+109
6Augsburg5221138+58
7Bremen5221101008
8Frankfurt62221016-68
9Mainz52121310+37
10Elversberg52128807
11Cologne6213811-37
12Stuttgart520389-16
13Hamburg5203515-106
14Schalke512246-25
15Paderborn511337-44
16Union Berlin5113517-124
17Hoffenheim5104913-43
18Gladbach5005718-110
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation

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How the prediction works

Each team's goals for and against in this league give its expected goals, and from there the chance of every possible score. No injuries, no hunches: numbers.

The method, step by step