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England

Premier League

19 matches to come, each with its prediction. Tap a shirt to see it in 3D.

ESPN data, updated

See upcoming matchesThe table

What's coming, day by day.

4 matches

Brentford
1-0most likely
Liverpool
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.6 · 1.0
Fulham
1-1most likely
Hull
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.0 · 1.4
Man City
2-1most likely
Ipswich
High confidenceExpected goals 2.8 · 1.1
Newcastle
1-1most likely
Aston Villa
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.9 · 1.5

4 matches

Bournemouth
1-1most likely
Sunderland
Wide openExpected goals 1.6 · 1.5
Brighton
3-1most likely
C Palace
High confidenceExpected goals 3.0 · 1.1
Leeds
1-1most likely
Man United
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.5 · 1.1
Nottm Forest
0-1most likely
Arsenal
Medium confidenceExpected goals 0.8 · 1.4

1 match

Spurs
1-1most likely
Coventry
Wide openExpected goals 1.1 · 1.1

1 match

Ipswich
1-1most likely
Nottm Forest
Wide openExpected goals 1.5 · 1.3

4 matches

Aston Villa
0-2most likely
Man City
High confidenceExpected goals 0.9 · 2.4
Arsenal
1-0most likely
Everton
Medium confidenceExpected goals 1.3 · 0.9
Coventry
1-1most likely
Fulham
Wide openExpected goals 1.2 · 1.3
Chelsea
2-0most likely
Spurs
High confidenceExpected goals 2.2 · 1.0

5 matches

C Palace
2-1most likely
Newcastle
Wide openExpected goals 2.0 · 1.8
Hull
1-1most likely
Brentford
Wide openExpected goals 1.2 · 1.4
Liverpool
0-1most likely
Brighton
High confidenceExpected goals 1.0 · 2.0
Man United
2-1most likely
Bournemouth
High confidenceExpected goals 2.0 · 1.2
Sunderland
0-1most likely
Leeds
Medium confidenceExpected goals 0.9 · 1.6

Just played

Full time
Everton
0-2
Chelsea
Wide openExpected goals 1.5 · 1.6

The table, as it stands.

Today's standings. Every prediction's numbers come from here.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Man City6600165+1118
2Arsenal6501105+515
3Brighton6411185+1313
4Chelsea74121713+413
5Brentford6240126+610
6Everton724187+110
7Leeds623185+39
8Hull623186+29
9Liverpool62317709
10Ipswich6303912-39
11Newcastle62221013-38
12C Palace6213912-37
13Man United61329906
14Coventry6204511-66
15Nottm Forest612358-35
16Aston Villa6123611-55
17Sunderland6114612-64
18Bournemouth6033713-63
19Spurs603339-63
20Fulham6024610-42
  • Relegation

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How the prediction works

Each team's goals for and against in this league give its expected goals, and from there the chance of every possible score. No injuries, no hunches: numbers.

The method, step by step