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Round of 32 · #75

Netherlands v Morocco

1-1

Penalties: 2-3

Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 72'Cody GakpoGoal · 1-0
  2. 90'+1'Issa DiopGoal · 1-1
  3. 120'Teun KoopmeinersPenalty · 2-1
  4. 120'Soufiane RahimiPenalty · 2-2
  5. 120'Wout WeghorstPenalty · 3-2
  6. 120'Chemsdine TalbiPenalty · 3-3
  7. 120'Ismael SaibariPenalty · 3-4

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Netherlands (1st Group F) vs Morocco (2nd Group C) · knockout

Level of the teams

Netherlands: great quality and experience (Gakpo, Memphis, Frenkie de Jong),
balanced across the pitch.
Morocco: Qatar 2022 semifinalist and African champion, physical and top
(Hakimi, Brahim, En-Nesyri). A very dangerous opponent.

Key factors

  • An even, high-level tie between two complete teams.
  • Netherlands manages the tempo better; Morocco is more physical and direct.
  • Could be settled by details, extra time or penalties.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-1 Netherlands (alternative: 1-1)

  • Netherlands win: ~45%
  • Draw: ~28%
  • Morocco win: ~27%

Advances: Netherlands (~58%)
Player to watch: Achraf Hakimi, Morocco's thrust and threat.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium

A high-voltage, even match. Netherlands is a slight favorite on balance and
pedigree, but Morocco has the tools to knock anyone out.