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Round of 32 · #76

Brazil v Japan

2-1

In normal time

NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 29'Kaishu SanoGoal · 0-1
  2. 56'CasemiroGoal · 1-1
  3. 90'+5'Gabriel MartinelliGoal · 2-1

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Brazil (1st Group C) vs Japan (2nd Group F) · knockout

Level of the teams

Brazil: title contender, a star-studded squad (Vinícius, Rodrygo, Raphinha).
Superior in individual talent.
Japan: intense, fast and very organized, Asia's highest-ranked side. Can
trouble with its dynamism.

Key factors

  • Brazil superior in pedigree and individual flair.
  • Japan is physical, disciplined and dangerous in transition.
  • Brazil is the favorite, but Japan is no easy opponent.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-0 Brazil (alternative: 2-1 Brazil)

  • Brazil win: ~62%
  • Draw: ~23%
  • Japan win: ~15%

Advances: Brazil (~75%)
Player to watch: Vinícius Júnior, Brazil's threat down the left.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium-high

Brazil is superior and a clear favorite, though Japan can make it tricky with
sharp transitions. A Brazilian progression is the most likely scenario.