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Round of 32 · #74

Germany v Paraguay

1-1

Penalties: 3-4

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 42'Julio EncisoGoal · 0-1
  2. 54'Kai HavertzGoal · 1-1
  3. 120'MaurícioPenalty · 1-2
  4. 120'Joshua KimmichPenalty · 2-2
  5. 120'Gustavo GómezPenalty · 2-3
  6. 120'Jamal MusialaPenalty · 3-3
  7. 120'Matías GalarzaPenalty · 3-4
  8. 120'Nadiem AmiriPenalty · 4-4
  9. 120'José CanalePenalty · 4-5

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Germany (1st Group E) vs Paraguay (best third) · knockout

Level of the teams

Germany: a top squad on the rise (Wirtz, Musiala, Kimmich), with plenty of
goals and game control. A contender to go far.
Paraguay: a physical, organized block with good set pieces, solid at the back.

Key factors

  • Germany far superior in talent, control and depth.
  • Paraguay will rely on defensive order and set pieces.
  • Germany arrives as a heavy favorite in the tie.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-0 Germany (alternative: 1-0 Germany)

  • Germany win: ~70%
  • Draw: ~20%
  • Paraguay win: ~10%

Advances: Germany (~82%)
Player to watch: Florian Wirtz, Germany's creativity and goals.

Final verdict, Confidence: high

Germany is far superior and should advance. Paraguay is organized and can dig
in at the back, but a German progression is the most likely scenario.