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Round of 32 · #73

South Africa v Canada

0-1

In normal time

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 90'+2'Stephen EustáquioGoal · 0-1

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

South Africa (2nd Group A) vs Canada (2nd Group B) · knockout

Level of the teams

South Africa: a dynamic, physical and fast team, a surprise as group runner-up.
Canada: host, physical and fast (Davies, Jonathan David), backed by its fans
and with a bit more pedigree.

Key factors

  • Canada plays at home and has more individual quality.
  • South Africa is intense and dangerous in transition.
  • An even tie: could be settled by details, extra time or penalties.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-1 Canada (alternative: 1-1)

  • South Africa win: ~28%
  • Draw: ~28%
  • Canada win: ~44%

Advances: Canada (~62%)
Player to watch: Alphonso Davies, Canada's engine down the flank.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium

Canada is a slight favorite on home advantage and pedigree, but South Africa
is fast and combative. A Canadian progression is the most likely scenario.