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Third place · #103

France v England

4-6

In normal time

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 3'Declan RiceGoal · 0-1
  2. 18'Ezri KonsaGoal · 0-2
  3. 37'Bukayo SakaGoal · 0-3
  4. 45'+1'Bukayo SakaGoal · 0-4
  5. 48'Kylian MbappéGoal · 1-4
  6. 54'Bradley BarcolaGoal · 2-4
  7. 66'Kylian MbappéGoal · 3-4
  8. 87'Bukayo SakaPenalty · 3-5
  9. 90'+6'Ousmane DembéléGoal · 4-5
  10. 90'+8'Jude BellinghamGoal · 4-6

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

France (0-2 to Spain) vs England (1-2 to Argentina) · the third-place play-off, in Miami

Team level

France: attacking firepower intact (Mbappé, Dembélé) and a defence only Spain managed to break. The doubt is emotional.
England: a huge Bellingham all tournament long and Kane's instinct. They left angry at how the semi slipped away.

Key factors

  • Third-place play-offs tend to be open: less tactical pressure, more space.
  • With Mbappé and Dembélé vs Bellingham and Kane, the attacking arsenal promises goals.
  • One individual moment could settle it, or, once again, penalties.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-2 (alternative: 2-1 France)

  • France win: ~40%
  • Draw: ~30%
  • England win: ~30%

Third place: France (~52%)
Player to watch: Kylian Mbappé, class enough to decide it on his own.

Final verdict, Confidence: low

France is the narrowest of favourites on pedigree and attacking depth, but the third-place match
is an emotional lottery: the energy each side brings to a consolation prize matters more than the
names on the team sheet. An inspired Bellingham could flip it without trouble.