The goals, minute by minute
- 90'+1'Mikel MerinoGoal · 1-0
The preview
Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.
Context
Spain (1st Group H, European champions) vs Portugal (2nd Group K, with Ronaldo) · Iberian derby
Team level
Spain: the best collective in the tournament (Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Nico Williams); possession and pressing.
Portugal: huge individuals (Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, Leão), but more reliant on them.
Key factors
- Spain controls the game and combines better.
- Portugal leans on talent and efficiency.
- Even Iberian classic; Spain a slight favourite for its structure.
Prediction
Result in 90': 1-1 (alternative: 2-1 Spain)
- Spain win: ~50%
- Draw: ~28%
- Portugal win: ~22%
Advances: Spain (~62%)
Player to watch: Lamine Yamal, the jewel who breaks lines.
Final verdict, Confidence: medium
The tie of the round. Spain is a slight favourite for its play and balance, but
Portugal has the pedigree to pull it off. Anything can happen.