The goals, minute by minute
- 36'Jude BellinghamGoal · 0-1
- 38'Jude BellinghamGoal · 0-2
- 42'Julián QuiñonesGoal · 1-2
- 54'Jarell QuansahRed card
- 60'Harry KanePenalty · 1-3
- 69'Raúl JiménezPenalty · 2-3
The preview
Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.
Context
Mexico (1st Group A, host, Estadio Azteca) vs England (1st Group L) · knockout
Team level
England: top squad and contender (Bellingham, Kane, Saka, Foden); huge depth.
Mexico: organisation, home advantage and momentum; grows with its crowd.
Key factors
- England has more individual pedigree.
- Mexico exploits the Azteca, altitude and atmosphere.
- If England controls tempo it's the favourite; conditions can level it.
Prediction
Result in 90': 1-1 (alternative: 2-1 England)
- England win: ~48%
- Draw: ~28%
- Mexico win: ~24%
Advances: England (~58%)
Player to watch: Jude Bellingham, arrivals and quality.
Final verdict, Confidence: medium
England is a slight favourite on squad quality. Mexico, at home in the Azteca, has
enough to pull the upset; a closer tie than the paper suggests.