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Group stage · Group E · #9

Germany v Curaçao

7-1

In normal time

NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 6'Felix NmechaGoal · 1-0
  2. 21'Livano ComenenciaGoal · 1-1
  3. 38'Nico SchlotterbeckGoal · 2-1
  4. 45'+5'Kai HavertzPenalty · 3-1
  5. 47'Jamal MusialaGoal · 4-1
  6. 68'Nathaniel BrownGoal · 5-1
  7. 78'Deniz UndavGoal · 6-1
  8. 88'Kai HavertzGoal · 7-1

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Head-to-Head

No history: the first-ever meeting. It is Curaçao's outright World Cup debut as the smallest nation ever to qualify (≈150,000 inhabitants).

Recent form

  • Germany: solid, 5 wins in 6 qualifiers, 4th place at the 2025 Nations League. Generational rebuild under Nagelsmann with Wirtz, Musiala and Havertz. Chasing a first title since 2014 after two straight group-stage exits (2018, 2022).
  • Curaçao: an almost flawless CONCACAF qualifying campaign, topping a group with Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago and Bermuda. Historic debutant coached by Dick Advocaat.

Squad status

  • Germany: Musiala recovered from a serious injury (around 95%, sharpness a doubt). Ter Stegen injured: Manuel Neuer comes out of retirement in goal.
  • Curaçao: a squad of players with European pedigree, Locadia, Tahith Chong, Kenji Gorré, captain Leandro Bacuna, goalkeeper Eloy Room.

Factor matrix

FactorEdge for
Head-to-headNeutral
Recent formGermany
Squad statusGermany
MotivationNeutral
Pedigree/individual levelGermany
SurpriseCuraçao (very slight)

Prediction

Most likely result: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao (alternative: 2-0)

  • Germany win: 91%
  • Draw: 6%
  • Curaçao win: 3%

Player to watch: Florian Wirtz / Jamal Musiala (Germany) · Tahith Chong (Curaçao)

Final verdict

Germany are overwhelming favorites (1/20 with bookmakers, 90.7% in the Opta supercomputer). The gap in level, depth and experience is huge. Curaçao will sit deep and look for the odd transition with their Europe-based players, but a comfortable German win by several goals is the most likely outcome. Confidence: HIGH.


Sources