The goals, minute by minute
- 70'Kylian MbappéPenalty · 0-1
The preview
Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.
Context
Paraguay (3rd Group D, knocked out Germany on penalties) vs France (1st Group I) · knockout
Team level
France: title contender, squad full of stars (Mbappé, Tchouaméni, Saliba) and
huge depth.
Paraguay: organised, gritty and with an inspired keeper; came far on pure effort.
Key factors
- France clearly superior in individual quality and physicality.
- Paraguay relies on sitting deep and set pieces.
- If France manages the tempo, it controls the tie.
Prediction
Result in 90': 2-0 (alternative: 2-1 France)
- France win: ~72%
- Draw: ~18%
- Paraguay win: ~10%
Advances: France (~78%)
Player to watch: Kylian Mbappé, can decide it at any moment.
Final verdict, Confidence: high
France is clearly better and a heavy favourite. Paraguay can trouble them for a
while, but a French win is the most likely outcome.