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Round of 32 · #88

Australia v Egypt

1-1

Penalties: 2-4

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 13'Emam AshourGoal · 0-1
  2. 55'Mohamed HanyOwn goal · 1-1
  3. 120'Mahmoud SaberPenalty · 1-2
  4. 120'Jackson IrvinePenalty · 2-2
  5. 120'Ramy RabiaPenalty · 2-3
  6. 120'Awer MabilPenalty · 3-3
  7. 120'Mohamed SalahPenalty · 3-4
  8. 120'Hossam AbdelmaguidPenalty · 3-5

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Australia (2nd Group D) vs Egypt (2nd Group G) · knockout

Level of the teams

Australia: physical and intense, disciplined and well-conditioned, solid at the back.
Egypt: led by Mohamed Salah, dangerous on the counter and with individual
pedigree up front.

Key factors

  • Egypt has more pedigree and attacking danger with Salah.
  • Australia relies on order, physicality and set pieces.
  • An even tie: could be settled by a detail or on penalties.

Prediction

Result in 90': 1-1 draw (alternative: 2-1 Egypt)

  • Australia win: ~30%
  • Draw: ~30%
  • Egypt win: ~40%

Advances: Egypt (~57%)
Player to watch: Mohamed Salah, can decide the game on his own.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium

An even tie. Egypt is a slight favorite on Salah's pedigree, but Australia is
organized and hard to beat. Likely a tight finish.