The goals, minute by minute
- 21'Ismael SaibariGoal · 0-1
- 32'Vinícius JúniorGoal · 1-1
The preview
Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.
Head-to-Head
3 meetings: Brazil 2 - Morocco 1. Brazil won the 1997 friendly (2-0) and the 1998 World Cup clash (3-0). Morocco took revenge in the 2023 friendly in Tangier (2-1). Their only World Cup meeting was a clear Brazil win.
Recent form
- Brazil: inconsistent, 2 wins in 5 (5-0 vs South Korea, 2-0 vs Senegal, but 0-1 vs Bolivia, 2-3 vs Japan, 1-1 vs Tunisia). Leaky defense.
- Morocco: on a roll, 4 wins in 5, 9 goals for and 0 against. 2025-26 Africa Cup of Nations champions and 2022 World Cup semi-finalists.
Squad status
- Brazil: Neymar out (calf) and Wesley out (full-back, ruled out of the World Cup). Gabriel fit despite missing the warm-up games.
- Morocco: without Aguerd (centre-back) and Ezzalzouli (winger). Mazraoui a doubt (shoulder).
Factor matrix
| Factor | Edge for |
|---|---|
| Head-to-head | Brazil |
| Recent form | Morocco |
| Squad status | Neutral |
| Motivation | Neutral |
| Stats/defense | Morocco |
| Individual talent | Brazil |
Prediction
Most likely result: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco (alternative: 2-1 Brazil)
- Brazil win: 45%
- Draw: 33%
- Morocco win: 22%
Player to watch: Achraf Hakimi (Morocco) / Vinicius Jr (Brazil)
Final verdict
Brazil are favorites on talent and with the bookmakers (-150/-175), but Morocco's defensive solidity and a cautious opening fixture point toward a tight, low-scoring game (Under 2.5 looks good value). A draw is a real scenario given Morocco's unbeaten run. Confidence: MEDIUM.