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Round of 16 · #95

Argentina v Egypt

3-2

In normal time

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 15'Yasser IbrahimGoal · 0-1
  2. 67'Mostafa ZicoGoal · 0-2
  3. 79'Cristian RomeroGoal · 1-2
  4. 83'Lionel MessiGoal · 2-2
  5. 90'+2'Enzo FernándezGoal · 3-2

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Argentina (1st Group J, world champions) vs Egypt (2nd Group G) · knockout

Team level

Argentina: reigning champions, pedigree and Messi; struggled vs Cape Verde but went through.
Egypt: organised with Salah as their big card, but weaker squad overall.

Key factors

  • Argentina is clearly superior in names and know-how.
  • Egypt sits deep and trusts Salah on the counter.
  • If Argentina plays to its level, it controls the tie.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-0 (alternative: 2-1 Argentina)

  • Argentina win: ~74%
  • Draw: ~16%
  • Egypt win: ~10%

Advances: Argentina (~80%)
Player to watch: Lionel Messi, the difference-maker (beware Salah).

Final verdict, Confidence: high

Argentina is a heavy favourite on pedigree and depth. Egypt can be a nuisance with
Salah, but an Argentine advance is the most likely outcome.