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Round of 32 · #81

United States v Bosnia

2-0

In normal time

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 45'Folarin BalogunGoal · 1-0
  2. 64'Folarin BalogunRed card
  3. 82'Malik TillmanGoal · 2-0

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

USA (1st Group D) vs Bosnia (best third) · knockout

Level of the teams

USA: host, coached by Pochettino, with attacking talent (Pulisic, Balogun,
Reyna) and massive support.
Bosnia: individual talent and finishing (Džeko, Tabaković), but inconsistent
and limited in depth.

Key factors

  • USA plays at home with the pressure in its favor.
  • Bosnia relies on its attacking pedigree with Džeko.
  • USA is the favorite on home advantage and momentum.

Prediction

Result in 90': 2-1 USA (alternative: 2-0 USA)

  • USA win: ~52%
  • Draw: ~26%
  • Bosnia win: ~22%

Advances: USA (~62%)
Player to watch: Christian Pulisic, the USA's attacking beacon.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium-high

USA is the favorite on home advantage and depth, but Bosnia with Džeko is
always dangerous at set pieces. An American progression is most likely.