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Group stage · Group G · #65

New Zealand v Belgium

1-5

In normal time

BC Place, Vancouver

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 28'Leandro TrossardGoal · 0-1
  2. 50'Leandro TrossardGoal · 0-2
  3. 66'Kevin De BruyneGoal · 0-3
  4. 84'Elijah JustGoal · 1-3
  5. 86'Romelu LukakuGoal · 1-4
  6. 90'+4'Alexis SaelemaekersGoal · 1-5

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

New Zealand (85th FIFA, lowest-ranked) vs Belgium (9th FIFA)

Level of the teams

  • New Zealand: back after 16 years, poor in friendlies, physical but limited in quality.
  • Belgium: a generation led by Kevin De Bruyne, pedigree and depth. Group favorite.

Key factors

  • Huge gap in ranking and level in Belgium's favor.
  • Belgium wants a win to secure top spot in the group.
  • New Zealand will bet on defending and limiting the damage.

Prediction

Most likely result: 3-0 Belgium (alternative: 2-0 Belgium)

  • New Zealand win: 5%
  • Draw: 12%
  • Belgium win: 83%

Player to watch: Kevin De Bruyne, Belgium's creative beacon.

Final verdict, Confidence: high

Belgium is far superior and should win comfortably. Barring a historic upset, it will control the game against a limited New Zealand.