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Group stage · Group I · #43

Norway v Senegal

3-2

In normal time

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 43'Marcus Holmgren PedersenGoal · 1-0
  2. 48'Erling HaalandGoal · 2-0
  3. 53'Ismaïla SarrGoal · 2-1
  4. 58'Erling HaalandGoal · 3-1
  5. 90'+3'Ismaïla SarrGoal · 3-2

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Norway (30th FIFA) vs Senegal (15th FIFA) · battle for 2nd place.

Level of the teams

  • Norway: with Erling Haaland (16 goals in qualifying) and Ødegaard, plenty of goals but a questionable defense.
  • Senegal: African champion, physical and balanced (Koulibaly, Sané, Mané). Perhaps the more complete squad of the two.

Key factors

  • Key match for 2nd place behind France.
  • Norway relies heavily on Haaland's finishing.
  • Senegal is more balanced and physical across the pitch.

Prediction

Most likely result: 1-1 draw (alternative: 2-1 Senegal)

  • Norway win: 33%
  • Draw: 30%
  • Senegal win: 37%

Player to watch: Erling Haaland, can settle the game in one move.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium

A very even, decisive match. Senegal is a slight favorite on balance, but Haaland levels any scenario. A draw is very possible.