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Group stage · Group D · #29

United States v Australia

2-0

In normal time

Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 11'Cameron BurgessOwn goal · 1-0
  2. 43'Alex FreemanGoal · 2-0

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

USA (host) vs Australia (27th FIFA)

Level of the teams

  • USA: host and best-ranked in the group, coached by Pochettino, with attacking talent (Pulisic, Balogun, Reyna).
  • Australia: physical, intense and disciplined, but with less attacking pedigree.

Key factors

  • USA plays at home in Seattle with massive support.
  • USA superior in talent and thrust; Australia in order and physicality.
  • A very open group: a win sets up top spot.

Prediction

Most likely result: 2-1 USA (alternative: 1-0 USA)

  • USA win: 55%
  • Draw: 25%
  • Australia win: 20%

Player to watch: Christian Pulisic, the USA's attacking beacon.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium-high

USA is the favorite on home advantage and talent, but Australia is hard to beat. A narrow American win is the most likely scenario.