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Group stage · Group G · #16

Iran v New Zealand

2-2

In normal time

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California

The goals, minute by minute

  1. 7'Elijah JustGoal · 0-1
  2. 32'Ramin RezaeianGoal · 1-1
  3. 54'Elijah JustGoal · 1-2
  4. 64'Mohammad MohebbiGoal · 2-2

The preview

Written before the match. We've left it as it was, even where the game said otherwise.

Context

Iran (20th FIFA) vs New Zealand (85th FIFA, lowest-ranked in the tournament).

Level of the teams

  • Iran: at its 7th World Cup, solid (3 wins in last 5, 11 goals for).
  • New Zealand: back after 16 years, in poor form (9 losses in 12 friendlies).

Key factors

  • Big gap in ranking and experience in Iran's favor.
  • Iran needs a win to dream of reaching the knockouts.
  • New Zealand will bet on defending and holding on.

Prediction

Most likely result: 2-0 Iran (alternative: 1-0 Iran)

  • Iran win: 62%
  • Draw: 25%
  • New Zealand win: 13%

Player to watch: Mehdi Taremi, Iran's attacking reference.

Final verdict, Confidence: medium-high

Iran is clearly superior and arrives needing points. New Zealand is limited, so an Iranian win is the most likely scenario.